Theme: Parties & Elections | Content Type: Journal article

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A Not-So-Quiet Earthquake: The 2026 Senedd Election and the Transformation of Welsh Politics

Bettina Petersohn, Anwen Elias, Muhammad Mohsin Hussain and Matthew Wall

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Callum Blacoe

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The 2026 Senedd Cymru (Welsh Parliament) election marked a dramatic change to the political landscape of Wales. This paper traces the contours of Wales's new electoral terrain, drawing on findings from the 2026 Welsh Election Study to illustrate and evidence key points. It places the 2026 election results in their political and institutional contexts, considers geographic and demographic voter realignments across Wales and reflects on the wider implications of this landmark electoral contest.

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  • Bettina-Petersohn-49013770.jpg

    Bettina Petersohn

    Bettina Petersohn is Senior Lecturer in Politics at the Department of Politics, Philosophy and International Relations, Swansea University.

    Articles by Bettina Petersohn
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    Anwen Elias

    Anwen Elias is Reader in Politics in the Department of International Politics at Aberystwyth University.

    Articles by Anwen Elias
  • Muhammad Mohsin Hussain

    Dr Muhammad Mohsin Hussain is Honorary Research Fellow in the School of Social Science (Politics and International Relations), University of Aberdeen.

    Articles by Muhammad Mohsin Hussain
  • Matt-Wall.webp

    Matthew Wall

    Matthew Wall is Professor of Politics at the Department of Politics, Philosophy and International Relations, Swansea University.

    Articles by Matthew Wall